Corona over or back?


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The outbreak of Corona virus in late 2019 and early 2020 shocked the entire world. In the early 2020, most of the countries witnessed nation-wide lock down to curb the spread of Corona virus. 2020 was a year to forget due to this COVID-19 pandemic. 2020 also witnessed a new normal in day-to-day living including work from home. When everything seems to come to normal in 2021, a sudden spike in Corona virus cases has made the situation to worry. This raises an important question i.e Is Corona back? 2021 will also be like 2020?

Since the outbreak of Corona virus, the total no of cases stands at 132,001,2019 and total no of deaths accounts for 2,867,746. USA, Brazil and India continue to be at top three in terms of no of cases. In terms of deaths, USA, Brazil and Mexico tops the list.

Top 5 countries in terms of No of cases and deaths 

Country Total No of casesCountryTotal no of deaths
USA 31,420,331 USA 568,777
Brazil 12,984,956 Brazil 331,530
India 12,589,067 Mexico 204,147
France 4,822,470 India 165,132
Russia 4,589,540 UK 126,836
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

The no of active cases indicates the risk of Corona. Let us look at the no of active cases in selected countries to understand the further risk. The more the no of active cases, more is the chance of increase in deaths.

S.NoCountriesActive Cases
1USA6,904,851
2France4,426,168
3Brazil1,295,905
4Slovakia100,006
5Belgium819,602
6India741,799
7Italy569,035
8Poland 384,150
9Ukraine369,162
10UK330,910
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

Looking at the no of active cases in selected countries, USA, France and Brazil tops the list with over 1 million active cases. In fact, the no of active cases in USA is inching towards 7 million. However, the no of active cases in India is still below 1 million but may cross 1 million mark in few days if the no cases continue to increase. This is the point to worry.

There was a time when the daily no of cases were approx 10000 in first and second week of February 2021, in India. Since March 2021, there is a sudden spike in no of cases on daily basis, crossing 100,000 mark on 4th April 2021. Yes, India reported record 103,793 cases on 4th April. Apart from spike in no of cases reported daily, there is a sudden rise in no of active cases in India. The no active cases in India crossed 1 million mark in September 2020 and slowed down further to 138,579 on 15th February 2021. Post 15th February 2021, the no active cases started to increase. Let us look at the no active cases in India on selected dates.

DateNo of Active Cases in India
15th February 2021138,579
20th february 2021147,214
25th February 2021157,418
1st March 2021169,786
5th March 2021181,997
15th March 2021225,072
20th March 2021310,801
25th March 2021422,596
31st March 2021585,215
1st April 2021615,798
4th April 2021742,830
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/india/

The above data reveals the constant increase in no of active cases in India. When people thought Corona is now over, Corona 2.O came resulting in rapid increase in no of cases and active cases in India. Hence, it is too early to infer that the risk of COVID-19 is over. It still persists. Many people lost their lives, many lost their jobs due to this pandemic. It is still not clear when it will end, and life will be as used to be. Many famous personalities suffered and lost their lives due to this pandemic.

Hence, it is important to take enough precautions and not to indulge in any “adventure” at this moment when there is a sudden surge in no of cases and deaths in India. One should maintain social distancing norms and avoid public gathering or else, the situation can be worst or beyond control.

-Ashish Kumar

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COVID 19 Deaths so far…


Corona virus has made life to stand still. Although unlock phase has started in many parts of the country and the world with relaxation in restrictions. This virus has changed the way of living and it is unlikely to get back to normal life soon. As per the recent report published by Mckinsey, it is very unlikely to end before end of 2021, with herd immunity, perhaps being the solution. One can download the said report below:

mckinsey-Full Article

Looking at the serious impact on normal life due to COVID, it had changed a lot. Work from home has become a normal way to continue your job. Companies are coming up with new and innovative ways to increase the efficiency and productivity while concerning the employee safety as well. Needless to mention, the total no of cases had crossed 33 million worldwide and total no of deaths had crossed 1 million. United States, India and Brazil tops the list in terms of no cases whereas United States, Brazil and India tops the list in terms of no deaths. The total no of deaths in India is inching towards 100,000.

One study reveals that India can reduce no of deaths to much extent if people wears face mask and take other precautions. This study is conducted by United States-based Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington. Let’s look at the estimated no of deaths in India by December 1, 2020 in three scenarios: Worst case, Most Likely and Best Case.

Worst Case Scenario

    • Lockdown restrictions continue to ease up and mask usage remains at current levels.
    • No of deaths in India by December 1, 2020: 4,92,380

Most Likely Scenario

    • Mask usage remains at current levels; six-week, state-level lockdowns are re-imposed if daily death rate exceeds 8 per million population in that state
    • No of deaths in India by December 1, 2020: 4,45,265

Best Case Scenario

    • Face mask usage rapidly increases to 95% starting now; six-week, state-level lockdowns are re-imposed if daily death rate exceeds 8 per million population in that state.
    • No of deaths in India by December 1, 2020: 2,91,145

Looking at the estimated deaths figures as pointed out by the study, it is important to think on the precautions that people are taking currently. There are many who are taking the things lightly or better to say, “they have taken it for granted”. One can easily find people without masks and assembling them on the streets, increasing the risk of spread. As per the IHME study, even in best case, approx. 3 lakhs people may die due to COVID by 1st December 2020 and 5 lakhs deaths in worst case scenario. This is an estimation and the correctness of this cannot be judged at this moment. But, given the present condition, the numbers are quite alarming and startling.

Needless to say, the total no of tests conducted in India so far is around 7.31 crores (1 Crore = 10 million) and tests per million is around 53,000. The total population of India stands around 138 crores, meaning less than 10% of the country’s population have been tested so far. It is obvious that we may see increase in number of new cases. Apart from all the negatives, it is also important to mention that people recovered from Corona so far in India is more than 5 million. But this doesn’t mean that Indians should stop taking enough precautions.

Many famous personalities including Amitabh Bachchan, Amit Shah, Manish Sisodiya, Shiv Raj Singh Chauhan etc tested positive for Corona virus but luckily recovered and few lost their lives. No doubt, India has a good recovery rate compared with other countries, but some of the famous personalities lost their lives. Let’s have a quick look on some of the famous Indian personalities who lost their lives from Corona Virus.

Pranab Mukherjee PC: Google

Pranab Mukherjee: Pranab Mukherjee, the former President (2012-17) lost the long battle from Corona and breath his last on 31st August 2020. He was a legendary and stalwart politician from Congress party. He was and is praised by his opponents for his humble and polite behaviour and loved by every Indians. He was popularly called “Pranab Da” and was conferred with Bharat Ratna, the highest civilian award of India. Apart from being a politician, he was a writer as well and has written many books which includes Beyond Survival: Emerging Dimensions of Indian Economy, Challenges Before the Nation: Saga of Struggle and Sacrifice, Thoughts and Reflections etc.

 

Suresh Angadi PC: Google

Suresh Angadi: He was a member of Lok Sabha since 2004 from Belagavi constituency and had never lost an election. He was serving as a Minister of State for Railways in the present Narendra Modi government. He was a popular face from Karnataka. He died on 23rd September 2020 due to COVID.

S P Balasubrahmanyam PC: Google

S. P Balasubrahmanyam: Noted playback singer S.P. Balasubrahmanyam lost the battle from COVID at the age of 74 and breath his last on 25th September 2020. He sung many songs in many languages including Hindi, Tamil, Telugu, Kannada, to name a few. He was a well known singer and a household name in India for his famous songs.

Chetan Chauhan PC: Google

Chetan Chauhan: Cricketer turned politician; Chetan Chauhan was serving as a minister in Uttar Pradesh Yogi Adityanath’s government. He was a famous international cricketer during 1969-81. He was elected to Lok Sabha twice in 1991 and 1998 respectively and UP Vidhan Sabha in 2017. Chetan Chauhan was the first Test cricketer to finish his Test career with over 2000 runs but without a century. He was tested positive for COVID on 12th July 2020 and breath his last on 16th August 2020. He was 73.

Raghuvansh Prasad Singh PC: Google

Raghuvansh Prasad Singh: Popularly known as “Raghuvansh Babu”, he was a well known politician from Bihar and also served as a Union Minister under Manmohan Singh government. He was long associated with RJD (Rashtriya Janata Dal). He lost his life due to COVID on 13th September 2020.

 

Rahat Indori PC: Google

Rahat Indori: Noted Lyricist and poet Rahat Indori died due to COVID on 11th August 2020. He was a well-known Shayar, ghazal writer and wrote many songs in Hindi movies as well. Some of the notable movies include Munnabhai MBBS, Hamesha, Kareeb, Mission Kashmir etc.

 

 

Hari Vasudevan PC: Google

Hari Vasudevan: Hari Vasudevan was a famous historian and writer who died on 10th May 2020 due to COVID, at the age of 68. He was a noted historian for his work on history of Russia and Europe and India-Russia relations. He completed his PhD studies from University of Cambridge.

 

 

As more than 1 million worldwide deaths and approx 0.1 million deaths in India, one should take enough safety and precautions.  Let’s stay safe, take enough precaution to combat spread of Corona as “Life is precious”

– Ashish Kumar

Usual to Unusual…



Top post on IndiBlogger, the biggest community of Indian Bloggers

Everything in life was going normal.
Just like “Business as Usual.”
Morning to evening and till night.
Every day was like a fight.
Weekend was one which we used to like and wait.
As it was a formal way to take a break.
Exploring nearby and far places in the vicinity.
Provided a way to find serenity.
Going out was a normal course of business.
Be it for work, tea/kulhar or tapri tea, shopping or movie.
Our face used to thrill with positive expression.

PC: Google

The freedom of roaming here and there no more lasts.
As the world suddenly suffered the “Corona” blast.
Weather of world has changed in startled way and direction.
Work from home and social distancing is the new evolution.
Life is no more “usual” now.
Surviving in this pandemic is the priority now.
We don’t know how much it will last.
As the world is suffering from the “Corona” blast.
Life is no more “business as usual.”
As life has changed suddenly from “usual to unusual”.
As life has changed suddenly from “usual to unusual”.

– Ashish Kumar

Corona Virus Contribution…



Top post on IndiBlogger, the biggest community of Indian Bloggers

As the world is facing the serious issue of Corona virus and most of the countries have imposed nationwide lock down, the number of cases of this pandemic seems unstoppable. The total number of cases of Covid-19 had surpassed 4.5 million and is inching towards 5 million mark. No body knows, when this will come to a halt. Total number of deaths due to Covid-19 is 313,759 (at the time of writing this article) and it may not be unprecedented if deaths increases in near future. It’s rare to see any country free from Corona virus pandemic at this point of time. United States had suffered the most, both in terms of number of cases and deaths. In fact, the total number of cases in US had surpassed 1.5 million and number of deaths had crossed 90,000 mark. Every country is working on in their capacity to have some cure in near future, including the vaccine.

Needless to say, be it small or big county (in terms of population), Covid-19 has compelled the world to “Stand-still, and India is no more exception. India, the 2nd largest country of the world (in terms of population), has been also hit badly due to this Corona virus pandemic. The country is in lock down for almost two months now and it may continue. Lock down 4.0 has been imposed as well and has been extended to 31st May, 2020. Due to large population and population density, the risk of community spread is very high in India, especially in major cities where population density is highest.  Mumbai has the largest number of cases in India and the city which never slept and stopped, came to halt. This is the case with all the major cities in India. Most of the services has stopped functioning in India except the essential services due to Covid-19. As of now, the total number of Covid-19 cases in India is over 91,000. The increase in number of cases in recent days is a matter to worry. The first case in India was reported on 30th January, 2020 from Kerala. There were 62 cases on 10th March and 1251 cases on 30th March. The current tally stands at 91,449 (at the time of writing this article). Let’s look at the number of cases and deaths in India.

Table: Total No of Corona Cases and deaths in India as on selective dates
Date Total No of Cases Total No of deaths
26th Feb 2020 3 0
10th Mar 2020 62 0
30th Mar 2020 1,251 32
10th Apr 2020 7,600 249
25th April 2020 26,283 825
1st May 2020 37,257 1,223
5th May 2020 49,400 1,693
10th May 2020 67,161 2,212
15th May 2020 85,784 2,753
16th May 2020 90,648 2,871
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/india/

Look at the above figures carefully, the number of cases and deaths have more than doubled from 1st May to 16th May 2020. There were 4,864 new cases reported on 16th May, the highest number of cases reported in a day so far. Although, India has a good recovery rate so far as compared to other countries, due to proactive lock down and other steps taken by the government. But, the above figures are matter of concern as the total number of cases in inching towards 100,000.

Testing of Covid-19 should be also taken into consideration. As of now (at the time of writing this article), there are 22,27,642 tests have been conducted. The total number of Corona cases comes out to be 4.1% of the total tests conducted. India with over 1.3 billion population, the number of tests conducted so far is not even 0.5% of the total population. Now consider the testing conducted on at least 1% of the total population which comes out to be around 1,30,00,000 and applying the same assumption, the total number of Corona cases comes out to be around 533,000 (4.1% of 1,30,00,000 = 533,000). Similarly, if the tests are conducted for at least 10% of the country’s population, you can imagine the number of cases which comes out to be over 1 million. That’s why it is a matter of concern, considering the fact, India lacks well and proper health infrastructure.

Since this is a pandemic situation and the country had suffered and may suffer serious economic loss post the Covid-19 era. But we don’t know when this will end. As most of the economic activities had stopped, the country Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will fall drastically. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) too had predicted the same. Most of the population of India works in unorganized sector and this sector has been hit the worst. Daily wages labours have no work and they are migrating to their home-town and the saddest part is, they are losing their lives. I am amazed and saddened to hear accidents are happening in this lock down situation (God knows how and why during lock down), killing innocent people.  People are dying due to hunger and accidents. Kids are crying in front of dead bodies of their parents and our so-called intellectual leaders are leaving no stone unturned to do politics on it… Sorry to say but that’s the fact…

PC: Google

There are also information coming from many companies that they are doing salary deduction due to Covid-19 situation, be it big corporates or small companies. The salary deduction ranges from 5% to 50%. This is shocking. Employees main source of income is their salary and work from home is in practice right now, then why salary deduction? It is shocking to see that some of the big names who used to give lectures on crisis management doesn’t have enough reserves to pay their employees. It may not be shocking to see high number of lay-offs and termination during or post Corona era.

The other contribution of this Covid-19 is on Stock market. Both Nifty 50 and Sensex fell. Currently, Nifty 50 is trading below 10,000 mark and it is important to note that it touched 7600 mark on 23rd March 2020. Same is the case with Sensex. Sensex is trading below 40,000 and it was trading just below 26,000 on 23rd March 2020 and currently trading just above 30,000. Nifty 50 and Sensex are the two most important stock indexes of India, traded on National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) respectively.

To summarize, some of the Corona Virus contribution includes:

  • Pandemic situation across the country and world.
  • Large number of deaths.
  • Unorganized sector worst hit in India.
  • Economic activities stopped.
  • Daily wages labours and their families are badly affected.
  • Innocent deaths due to accidents and hunger.
  • Illogical politics.
  • Salary deductions.
  • Phase-wise lock down.
  • Stock market down.

It is hard time and we must unite to tackle this situation. Please share your views on what you think on the current Covid-19 situation and what according to you is the contribution of Covid-19 apart from what is mentioned above.

– Ashish Kumar

कोरोना, तांडव करो न…


दुनिया में आयी एक ऐसी महामारी |
हर जगह मच गयी त्राहि त्राहि |
मानव हो रहे बेचैन और परेशान |
एक सूख्म जीव ने कर दिया विश्व को हैरान |
खतरों से खेलने वाले आज खतरे में हैं |
लाखों लोग इस से प्रभावित हो रहे हैं |
कहते हैं इसे जग में कोरोरना |
अब और तांडव मत करो न |

PC: Google

इस महामारी का अब तक कोई तोड़ नहीं |
कितनों को ले डूबेगी पता नहीं |
अचाननक शुरू हुई जुंग कब ख़त्म होगी ?
कोरोना से राहत कब मिलेगी ?
लाशों का अम्बार लगा दिया इसने |
इटली, स्पेन, इंग्लैंड और अमेरिका में |
समझ नहीं आ रहा ये सब क्यों हुआ ?
चीन से शुरू हुआ और विश्व को बर्बाद किया |
कौन ज़िम्मेदार है इस भयावह नज़ारे की |
लाशों का ढेर है खरीददार कोई नहीं |
ज़मीन काम पर रही लाशों को दफ़नाने में |
रूहें काँप रही हैं इस खौफनाक मंज़र में |
कहते हैं इसे जग में कोरोना |
अब और तांडव मत करो न |

PC: Google

कुछ बुद्धिजीवों को इकॉनमी की पड़ी है |
लोग मर रहे हैं उनकी सुध नहीं है |
धंधे में नुक्सान की पड़ी है |
आर्थिक इस्थ्ती तो फिर से सुधर जाएगी |
इंसान बचेंगे तभी इकॉनमी रहेगी |
कालाबाज़ारी में मुनाफे की दुकान चला रहे हैं कुछ |
इंसानियत भूल कर अनाज का कत्लेआम कर रहे हैं कुछ |
लड़ाई लम्बी है और लड़ना है |
साथ मिल के इस जंग को जीतना है |
ईश्वर से यही प्राथना है …
कहते हैं इसे जग में कोरोना |
अब और तांडव मत करो न…

– Ashish Kumar